@cstross@wandering.shop IIUC, currently there are two, maybe three substantial armies in the world with actual experience of drone war. The Russians are the second best. I've been expecting Putin to stop trying to advance in Ukraine and go to a defensive posture for a while. That would free up experienced drone ops and infantry, plus whatever armour they can now muster, to redeploy against the Baltics. He can't win in UKR and he desperately needs a win. So, this year, before the autumn rains.