Election Year: We're facing a distinct possibility of a return of the current gvt - despite Labour being the single highest polling party. Labour are sitting at around 35% (latest Reid); aside from the outlier of 2020, over the past 10yrs Labour's best polling has been in the range of 36-37%. But to gain gvt, it requires cumulative polling at around 49% - so it needs at least 12%-ish from The Greens to get there (currently at 9.6%) to form a centre-left gvt. I really don't think NZF will partner with Labour, and from Labour's perspective it would mean a constant conservative handbrake on their agenda and pandering to Winston's absurd "antiwoke" worldview. The Greens have to individually up their game - and Labour and the Greens need to be seen to present as a partnership to the electorate over the next 9 months. As for TPM, I'm afraid their internal warring has hollowed them out - and many on the broad centre-left question their dependability. So in sum: Labour could conceivably lift to 36/37%, the Greens need to lift another 2.5/3% and both parties need to demonstrate to the electorate what a Lab-Greens partnership could look like #NZPol